New York Rangers vs Florida Panthers Game 6 Prediction, Odds & Props (Saturday, June 1)
by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Updated Jun 1, 2024 · 6:23 PM PDT
May 30, 2024; New York, New York, USA; New York Rangers center Mika Zibanejad (93) passes the puck as New York Rangers center Vincent Trocheck (16) defends during the third period in game five of the Eastern Conference Final of the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY SportsWe’ve made our Rangers vs Panthers Game 6 prediction for SaturdayThe Panthers are favored to advance to the Cup Final for the second straight yearRead below for Rangers vs Panthers Game 6 prediction, odds and props to bet
The Florida Panthers are one victory away from advancing to the Stanley Cup Final for the second straight season. Oddsmakers are bullish on the Cats getting the job done, pricing Florida as heavy home favorites over the New York Rangers in Game 6 on Saturday, June 1 at Amerant Bank Arena.
The Rangers face a must-win situation to keep their season alive and are priced as road underdogs. We’ve made our Rangers vs Panthers Game 6 prediction to help you place an educated wager tonight. The puck drops at 8:00 pm ET from Sunrise on ABC and ESPN.
Here is our analysis for Game 6, including prediction, odds and player props.
New York Rangers vs Florida Panthers Game 6 Prediction
Our Panthers vs Rangers prediction weighs the advanced metrics in this series and New York’s record in previous elimination games.
My Best Bets
It isn’t hard to determine which of these teams has been more superior through five games. The Panthers have generated 57% of the expected goals, while the Rangers have generated just 43% of them. High-danger chances are also 77-51 in favor of the Cats.
However, the reason this series is close is due to the play of NYR goalie Igor Shesterkin, who owns a stellar .927 save percentage this postseason. He’s outdueled Sergei Bobrovsky, who has been inconsistent with a .905 save percentage. However, Bob was sharp in Game 5, stopping 25 of 27 shots.
A key storyline in this series is the Rangers’ power-play struggles as they are just 1-for-14 on the man advantage after finishing with the second-best power play in the regular season. Superstars Mika Zibanejad and Artemi Panarin have taken a combined 25 shots on goal but are yet to score in the ECF.
If they lose this series it’s going to be hard to just forget about Mika and Panarin’s play. I love them both but this is shocking stuff. They’re not just invisible, they’re detriments when they’re out there.
— The Garden Faithful (@GardenFaithful) May 29, 2024
This series is reminiscent of the 2022 Eastern Conference Final in which the Rangers held home-ice advantage but were eliminated in six games. Of course, Rangers fans will point to the 1994 Conference Final in which the team was down 3-2 and won two straight elimination games to advance to the Cup Final.
So which scenario plays out on Saturday? The Rangers have a pretty strong track record in elimination games over the past five years, posting a 5-3 record when facing elimination since 2020. However, their most recent elimination game was an ugly 4-0 loss to New Jersey last postseason.
The Panthers, meanwhile, are 6-3 in closeout games over the past three seasons. We don’t think they take their foot off the gas with the chance to deliver the knockout punch. Paul Maurice’s veteran team knows anything can happen in a potential Game 7 at the raucous MSG.
With Bobrovsky allowing just four goals in his last two starts, the Rangers’ star players struggling and Florida dominating possession, the Cats are the play in the Saturday NHL Odds.
NYR vs FLA Game 6 Pick:
Panthers Moneyline (-170)
Rangers vs Panthers Game 6 Odds
Team Spread Moneyline Total NY Rangers +1.5 (-185) +142 Over 5.5 (+114) FLA Panthers -1.5 (+154) -170 Under 5.5 (-135) The oddsmakers favor the Panthers on their home ice in Game 6. Florida is a heavy -170 moneyline favorite at DraftKings, which is the team’s heaviest price of the series. Florida closed as a -160 favorite in their last home game but were as long as -120 in Game 5 at MSG.
Florida’s -170 price means you have to wager $170 just to win $100. A $100 bet on the Rangers at +142 would return $142 if it hits. There is also the option of Florida’s 60-minute line at -105, however, it’s best to tread lightly considering three of the games in the series have required overtime.
OVERTIME STARTS NOW.
HERE. WE. GO. pic.twitter.com/iYvicjWvOz
— Florida Panthers (@FlaPanthers) May 25, 2024
The over/under for Game 6 is set at 5.5 on DraftKings, which is in line with the previous totals for this game. The only game in this series to actually produce more than 5.5 goals was New York’s wild 5-4 overtime win over the Cats in Game 3 at Amtrak Arena.
Given the heavy juice on the Panthers to win, we’ll likely end up putting the “under” of 5.5 and the Cats moneyline into a same-game parlay. The under is 5-0 in Florida’s last five games following a win, while also hitting in nine of the Rangers’ last 10 conference final games, primarily due to Shesterkin’s play.
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NYR-FLA Player Props
In the NHL player props market, Sam Reinhart has the best odds to light the lamp in Game 6 at +130, followed closely by his teammate Carter Verhaeghe at +150 odds. Each player’s point total is set at 0.5, with oddsmakers expecting scoring to be at a premium.
Player Anytime Goalscorer Shots on Goal (O/U) Points (O/U) Sam Reinhart +130 3.5 (+120o/-150u) 0.5 (-195o/+150u) Carter Verhaeghe +150 3.5 (+105o/-135u) 0.5 (-190o/+145u) Artemi Panarin +155 2.5 (-166o/+130u) 0.5 (-220o/+170u) Matthew Tkachuk +160 3.5 (+105o/-135u) 0.5 (-195o/+150u) Chris Kreider +195 2.5 (+100o/-130u) 0.5 (-125o/-105u) Vincent Trocheck +215 2.5 (-135o/+105u) 0.5 (-150o/+120u) Aleksander Barkov +215 2.5 (-120o/-110u) 0.5 (-210o/+160u) Alexis Lafreniere +235 2.5 (-120o/-110u) 0.5 (+100o/-130u) Mika Zibanejad +235 2.5 (+105o/-135u) 0.5 (-160o/+124u) Sam Bennett +280 2.5 (+105o/-135u) 0.5 (+120o/-150u) Rangers vs Panthers props odds as of May. 31, at DraftKings Sportsbook.
In terms of the props market, we like targeting Tkachuk in this game with a trip to the Cup Final on the line. The veteran forward has consistently delivered in big moments throughout his career, and we don’t envision that changing anytime soon.
Although he didn’t get on the scoresheet in Thursday’s game, Tkachuk led all Panthers with nine shot attempts. “Chucky” got six of them on target and is now averaging 3.875 shots per game this postseason.
Furthermore, in Florida’s last four series-clinching wins, Tkachuk has recorded two goals and five points, while averaging 4.75 shots on goal. The ex-Flame is a great bet to over his shot prop tonight and potentially light the lamp as well.
Prop Bets:
Tkachuk Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+105)Tkachuk Anytime Goal (+160)
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