Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Props to Bet

Dec 10, 2021; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon (29) and Detroit Red Wings center Michael Rasmussen (27) battle for the puck in the second period at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY SportsThe Detroit Red Wings battle the Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday Night HockeyThe Wednesday NHL odds favor the Avs over the Wings at Ball ArenaRead below for Red Wings vs Avalanche prediction, odds and props to bet

A fierce rivalry will be renewed when the Detroit Red Wings travel to Denver to face the Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena on Tuesday night. The puck will drop at 9:30 PM EST, with TNT carrying the broadcast nationally.

The Tuesday NHL odds heavily favor the home team, pricing Nathan Mackinnon’s Avalanche as the heavy home favorites over Patrick Kane and the Red Wings. The over/under is offered at 6.5 for a matchup featuring plenty of star power.

Here’s our Red Wings vs Avalanche prediction, along with a breakdown of the odds and best prop bets.

Red Wings vs Avalanche Odds

In the Red Wings vs Avalanche odds, Colorado is -190 favorite on the moneyline, giving them 57% implied win probability.

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Odds as of March 6th, 2024 at Bet365 Sportsbook. Colorado residents can sign up to wager on this game using the Bet365 promo code. NC sports bettors should check out Bet365 North Carolina ahead of the upcoming state launch.

Red Wings vs Avalanche History

The Colorado vs Detroit rivalry has simply been dominated by the Avs, with the blue and burgundy taking nine of the past meetings between the clubs. However, the Red Wings did squeak out a 2-1 win on their home ice in the previous meeting on February 22nd, 2024.

Red Wings Betting Analysis

Detroit enters Wednesday Night Hockey aiming to snap a two-game losing streak that began with a 5-3 home loss to the Islanders on Thursday and culminated with a 4-0 loss to the Panthers on Saturday. Detroit is well rested as they continue a lengthy homestand.

Detroit currently holds the top wild card in the Eastern Conference NHL Playoff Bracket, but they must overcome adversity. Captain Dylan Larkin, who leads the team with 26 goals and 54 points, will miss at least two weeks with a lower-body injury.

Per Derek Lalonde, Dylan Larkin will be out approx. 2 weeks with a lower-body injury.

— Detroit Red Wings (@DetroitRedWings) March 4, 2024

The Red Wings should still be able to fill in the net in Larkin’s absence, as forwards Alex DeBroncat and Lucas Raymond both recently hit the 50-point mark. Detroit is averaging 3.51 goals per game, which is sixth-most in the NHL.

Defensively, the Wings have been quite vulnerable, allowing an average of 3.20 goals per game (21st). Wednesday’s projected starting NHL goalie is Alex Lyon, who is 18-10-2 on the year with a .911 save percentage and 2.79 GAA.

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Avalanche Betting Analysis

Colorado comes into this game with a 3-1 record in their past four contests, although two of those victories were blowout wins against the lowly Chicago Blackhawks. Still, the Avs reside atop the 2024 Stanley Cup odds for good reason.

Nathan MacKinnon is currently favored in the Hart Trophy odds as he continues his monstrous season. The 28-year-old center has 39 goals and 105 points in 63 games, including recording a point in every home game.

MacKinnon gets it started for the Avs 🔥 pic.twitter.com/UBPXOSc4vG

— B/R Open Ice (@BR_OpenIce) March 5, 2024

The Avs sit third in the Central Division with 19 games remaining and could soon get a boost with the expected return of Valeri Nichushkin. The big Russian entered the NHL/NHLPA Player Assistance Program in mid-January but is close to returning. He’s been ruled out for Wednesday, however.

The Avalanche have the NHL’s leading offense at 3.65 goals per game, while boasting the 15th-best defense (3.06). Goalie Alex Georgiev has been inconsistent with a 31-15-3 record and .900 save percentage. Backup Justus Annunen has only six game appearances this season.

Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction

Can the Red Wings pull a huge upset against the Avalanche on Wednesday night to bolster their playoff odds? While Detroit pulled out the win a few weeks back, we can’t bring ourselves to bet against Colorado in this spot.

The Avalanche have won the past three meetings at Ball Arena by at least three goals, scoring at least six in each game. This team is near unbeatable in Denver, losing just six times all year on their home ice.

Colorado has a 50.94 xGF% at even strength over their past 10 games, while the Red Wings are sporting a 45.26 xGF% mark. Add in that Colroado’s power play is operating at 24% efficiency and has scored three times in the past three meetings, we have a clear mismatch on our hands.

A player prop we are adding to our prediction is Cale Makar over 2.5 shots on goal. He averages 3.3 shots per game on home ice this season, and the Red Wings conceed the sixth most shots to opposing blueliners. Per our NHL player props, the best value for this bet is -143 odds at Bet365.

Red Wings vs Avs Picks:

Avalanche Puck Line -1.5 (+125)Cale Makar Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-143 at Bet365)

 

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